Mojo projected leaderboards -- 2007

Here are the projected 2007 leaders in various stats using park-adjusted Marcel ("Mojo") projections. Playing time calculations are based on a weighted, age-adjusted three-year average, which is why guys like Ryan Howard don't show up on most of the lists. The exception is for players like Robinson Cano who didn't debut in the majors until 2005 or 2006; in these cases, the playing time calculations only use the past one or two seasons. Fair? Probably not.

To qualify for the rate stat leaderboards, hittes need to have at least 502 projected PAs and pitchers at least 162 projected IP. Hitters with fewer projected PAs can still show up in the top ten if they would still rank among the league's leaders after enough hitless PAs to get them to 502 were added to their total (full rules can be found here). Also, of course, changes in usage patterns (Joel Pineiro) and injuries (Pedro Martinez) have not been accounted for.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

Batting Average

Suzuki-SEA    .325
Cano-NYY      .319
Guerrero-LAA  .317
Young-TEX     .313
Jeter-NYY     .313
Tejada-BAL    .312
Guillen-DET   .312
Mauer-MIN   **.324
Polanco-DET   .307
Crawford-TBD  .303

On-base %

Hafner-CLE    .406
Abreu-NYY     .397
Drew-BOS      .396
Ramirez-BOS   .391
Giambi-NYY  **.395
Mauer-MIN   **.402
Rodriguez-NYY .386
Jeter-NYY     .384
Ortiz-BOS     .384
Guillen-DET   .376

Slugging %

Hafner-CLE    .594
Ortiz-BOS     .593
Ramirez-BOS   .580
Guerrero-LAA  .550
Teixeira-TEX  .534
Rodriguez-NYY .532
Dye-CHW       .531
Konerko-CHW   .526
Morneau-MIN   .509
Glaus-TOR     .509

OPS

Hafner-CLE    1.000
Ortiz-BOS      .977
Ramirez-BOS    .971
Guerrero-LAA   .926
Rodriguez-NYY  .918
Teixeira-TEX   .901
Drew-BOS       .901
Konerko-CHW    .890
Dye-CHW        .877
Giambi-NYY   **.893

At Bats

Suzuki-SEA    690
Young-TEX     689
Tejada-BAL    659
Jeter-NYY     646
Crawford-TBD  645
Blalock-TEX   632
Teixeira-NYY  628
Figgins-LAA   623
Beltre-SEA    618
Damon-NYY     613

Plate Appearances

Suzuki-SEA    739
Young-TEX     736
Jeter-NYY     720
Teixeira-TEX  711
Tejada-BAL    707
Abreu-NYY     695
Blalock-TEX   691
Rodriguez-NYY 687
Ortiz-BOS     685
Figgins-LAA   684

Hits

Suzuki-SEA    224 
Young-TEX     216
Tejada-BAL    206
Jeter-NYY     202
Crawford-TBD  195
Guerrero-LAA  186
Damon-NYY     180
Teixeira-TEX  178
Figgins-LAA   177
Mora-BAL      174

Total Bases

Ortiz-BOS     349
Teixeira-TEX  335
Tejada-BAL    332
Young-TEX     325
Guerrero-LAA  322
Rodriguez-NYY 317
Crawford-TBD  304
Konerko-CHW   303
Ramirez-BOS   302
Beltre-SEA    298
Jeter-NYY     298
Wells-TOR     298

Doubles

Overbay-TOR   45
Roberts-BAL   43
Lowell-BOS    42
Tejada-BAL    41
Young-TEX     41
Teixeira-TEX  40
Abreu-NYY     39
Cano-NYY      39
Cabrera-LAA   38
Hafner-CLE    38
Ortiz-BOS     38

Triples

Crawford-TBD  17
Figgins-LAA   12
Sizemore-CLE   9
Suzuki-SEA     9
Lofton-TEX     8
Rios-TOR       7
Castillo-MIN   6
DeJesus-KCR    6
Guillen-DET    6
Inge-DET       6
Teahen-KCR     6
Young-TEX      6

Home Runs

Ortiz-BOS     47
Ramirez-BOS   39
Konerko-CHW   38
Rodriguez-NYY 38
Teixeira-TEX  38
Hafner-CLE    34
Dye-CHW       33
Guerrero-LAA  33
Glaus-TOR     33
Beltre-SEA    29
Sexson-SEA    29

Bases on Balls

Abreu-NYY     110
Ortiz-BOS      93
Giambi-NYY     85
Rodriguez-NYY  82
Ramirez-BOS    79
Hafner-CLE     78
Drew-BOS       77
Thome-CHW      77
Teixeira-TEX   75
Chavez-OAK     74

Singles

Suzuki-SEA    182
Young-TEX     150
Jeter-NYY     146
Kendall-OAK   140
Castilo-MIN   136
Crawford-TBD  136
Tejada-BAL    136
Figgins-LAA   134
Damon-NYY     122
Mora-BAL      122

Adjusted OPS+

Hafner-CLE    161
Ortiz-BOS     149
Ramirez-BOS   148
Guerrero-LAA  142
Rodriguez-NYY 140
Drew-BOS      132
Teixeira-TEX  129
Konerko-CHW   127
Sizemore-CLE  127
Guillen-DET   126

Runs Created

Ortiz-BOS     134
Teixeira-TEX  123
Rodriguez-NYY 122
Guerrero-LAA  121
Tejada-BAL    119
Ramirez-BOS   118
Hafner-CLE    116
Young-TEX     116
Jeter-NYY     114
Konerko-CHW   110

Extra-Base Hits

Ortiz-BOS     87
Teixeira-TEX  80
Hafner-CLE    73
Ramirez-BOS   72
Guerrero-LAA  70
Tejada-BAL    70
Sizemore-CLE  67
Wells-TOR     67
Young-TEX     66
Beltre-SEA    65
Overbay-TOR   65

Times on Base

Jeter-NYY     277
Abreu-NYY     276
Suzuki-SEA    273
Rodriguez-NYY 265
Ortiz-BOS     263
Young-TEX     263
Teixeira-TEX  261
Tejada-BAL    254
Damon-NYY     241
Guerrero-LAA  241

At Bats per Home Run

Ortiz-BOS     12.5
Ramirez-BOS   13.3
Hafner-CLE    14.1
Giambi-NYY  **14.1
Glaus-TOR     14.4
Thome-CHW   **14.2
Konerko-CHW   15.1
Rodriguez-NYY 15.7
Sexson-SEA    15.7
Dye-CHW       16.2

Outs

Young-TEX     473
Suzuki-SEA    466
Blalock-TEX   463
Tejada-BAL    453
Teixeira-TEX  450
Crawford-TBD  449
Figgins-LAA   446
Beltre-SEA    445
Jeter-NYY     444
Wells-TOR     435

ERA

Santana-MIN   3.02
Halladay-TOR  3.32
Pettitte-NYY  3.60
Sabathia-CLE  3.72
Lackey-LAA    3.82
Wang-NYY      3.87
Buehrle-CHW   4.04
Rogers-DET    4.05
Bedard-BAL    4.05
Haren-OAK     4.09

Innings

Santana-MIN   233.3
Buehrle-CHW   223.0
Garland-CHW   216.7
Lackey-LAA    211.7
Westbrook-CLE 211.3
Bonderman-DET 205.3
Vazquez-CHW   205.0
Robertson-DET 202.0
Lee-CLE       197.7
Weaver-SEA    196.0

Earned Runs Allow.

Vazquez-CHW   108
Pineiro-BOS   105
Weaver-SEA    105
Garland-CHW   102
Buehrle-CHW   100
Ortiz-MIN      99
Bonderman-DET  98
Westbrook-CLE  98
Robertson-DET  96
Lee-CLE        95

Adjusted ERA+

Santana-MIN   149
Halladay-TOR  138
Pettitte-NYY  123
Sabathia-CLE  118
Lackey-LAA    114
Wang-NYY      114
Buehrle-CHW   114
Bedard-BAL    110
Haren-OAK     110
Rogers-DET    110

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Batting Average

Cabrera-FLA   .322
Pujols-STL    .321
Holliday-COL  .308
Helton-COL    .307
Wright-NYM    .304
Loretta-HOU   .303
Atkins-COL  **.309
Lo Duca-NYM   .300
Pierre-LAD    .299
Berkman-HOU   .298

On-base %

Helton-COL    .416
Pujols-STL    .414
Berkman-HOU   .410
Johnson-WSN   .403
Cabrera-FLA   .398
Giles-SDP     .384
Bay-PIT       .383
Dunn-CIN      .376
Burrell-PHI   .374
Wright-NYM    .374

Slugging %

Pujols-STL    .625
Berkman-HOU   .555
Ramirez-CHC   .553
Cabrera-FLA   .550
Delgado-NYM   .538
Bay-PIT       .534
Holliday-COL  .531
Lee-CHC     **.551
Jones-ATL     .526
Soriano-CHC   .523

OPS

Pujols-STL    1.039
Berkman-HOU    .965
Cabrera-FLA    .948
Helton-COL     .925
Bay-PIT        .917
Ramirez-CHC    .903
Delgado-NYM    .903
Dunn-CIN       .897
Holliday-COL   .897
Wright-NYM     .897

At Bats

Pierre-LAD    689
Rollins-PHI   685
Soriano-CHC   639
Uggla-FLA     638
Furcal-LAD    629
Lee-HOU       625
Cabrera-FLA   623
Renteria-ATL  611
Winn-SFG      605
Wilson-PIT    598

Plate Apperances

Rollins-PHI   741
Pierre-LAD    737
Cabrera-FLA   702
Furcal-ATL    692
Soriano-CHC   691
Uggla-FLA     691
Giles-SDP     686
Dunn-CIN      683
Lee-HOU       679
Pujols-STL    679

Hits

Pierre-LAD    206
Cabrera-FLA   201
Rollins-PHI   193
Pujols-STL    188
Furcal-LAD    181
Lee-HOU       177
Renteria-ATL  177
Uggla-FLA     177
Soriano-CHC   175
Winn-SFG      174

Total Bases

Pujols-STL    366
Cabrera-FLA   343
Soriano-CHC   334
Lee-HOU       317
Rollins-PHI   310
Jones-ATL     306
Ramirez-CHC   303
Uggla-FLA     301
Bay-PIT       296
Dunn-CIN      294

Doubles

Cabrera-FLA   43
Rollins-PHI   43
Helton-COL    41
Pujols-STL    40
Soriano-CHC   40
Lee-HOU       39
Renteria-ATL  39
Belliard-WSN  38
Biggio-HOU    38
Winn-SFG      38

Triples

Reyes-NYM     14
Pierre-LAD    13
Roberts-SFG   11
Rollins-PHI   11
Furcal-LAD     9
Sullivan-COL   8
Hudson-ARI     7
Uggla-FLA      7
Ramirez-FLA    6
Vizquel-SFG    6
Wilson-PIT     6
Winn-SFG       6

Home Runs

Pujols-STL    45
Dunn-CIN      41
Jones-ATL     41
Soriano-CHC   38
Ramirez-CHC   35
Delgado-NYM   34
Lee-HOU       34
Berkman-HOU   33
Bay-PIT       32
Cabrera-FLA   32

Bases on Balls

Dunn-CIN      111
Giles-SDP      98
Berkman-HOU    95
Helton-COL     95
Bonds-SFG      89
Burrell-PHI    88
Pujols-STL     87
Johnson-WSN    80
Bay-PIT        77
Beltran-NYM    77

Singles

Pierre-LAD    164
Eckstein-STL  136
Loretta-HOU   131
Furcal-LAD    128
Vizquel-SFG   127
Renteria-ATL  125
Cabrera-FLA   124
Wilson-PIT    124
Rollins-PHI   122
Reyes-NYM     118

Adjusted OPS+

Pujols-STL    166
Berkman-HOU   148
Cabrera-FLA   147
Bay-PIT       135
Delgado-NYM   133
Wright-NYM    132
Johnson-WSN   131
Helton-COL    130
Ramirez-CHC   127
Dunn-CIN      126

Runs Created

Pujols-STL    152
Cabrera-FLA   136
Berkman-HOU   120
Helton-COL    114
Bay-PIT       113
Dunn-CIN      110
Soriano-CHC   110
Lee-HOU       108
Jones-ATL     107
Ramirez-CHC   106

Extra-Base Hits

Pujols-STL    87
Soriano-CHC   81
Cabrera-FLA   77
Dunn-CIN      73
Lee-HOU       73
Jones-ATL     72
Rollins-PHI   71
Beltran-NYM   70
Ramirez-CHC   70
Bay-PIT       69

Times on Base

Pujols-STL    281
Cabrera-FLA   279
Helton-COL    266
Giles-SDP     264
Dunn-CIN      257
Berkman-HOU   256
Pierre-LAD    253
Rollins-PHI   249
Bay-PIT       245
Furcal-LAD    244

At Bats per Home Run

Pujols-STL    13.0
Dunn-CIN      13.7
Jones-ATL     14.2
Howard-PHI  **11.9
Delgado-NYM   15.1
Ramirez-CHC   15.6
Edmonds-STL **15.8
Berkman-HOU   15.9
Soriano-CHC   16.8
Burrell-PHI   17.2

Outs

Rollins-PHI   492
Pierre-LAD    483
Soriano-CHC   464
Uggla-FLA     460
Furcal-LAD    449
Lee-HOU       448
Renteria-ATL  434
Jones-ATL     432
Winn-SFG      432
Wilson-PIT    429

ERA

Oswalt-HOU    3.28
Carpenter-STL 3.29
Zambrano-CHC  3.38
Peavy-SDP     3.42
Willis-FLA    3.44
Webb-ARI      3.46
Duke-PIT      3.57
Smoltz-ATL    3.58
Arroyo-CIN    3.73
Martinez-NYM  3.74

Innings

Hernandez-ARI 230.7
Webb-ARI      230.0
Oswalt-HOU    229.7
Willis-FLA    228.7
Zito-SFG      222.0
Zambrano-CHC  220.3
Carpenter-STL 219.7
Arroyo-CIN    218.0
Garcia-PHI    217.3
Harang-CIN    214.7

Earned Runs Allow.

Hernandez-ARI 117
Lopez-COL     111
Marquis-CHC   107
Davis-ARI     104
Moyer-PHI     104
Garcia-PHI    102
Morris-SFG    102
Johnson-ARI   100
Fogg-COL       99
Milton-CIN     97
Zito-SFG       97

Adjusted ERA+

Oswalt-HOU    133
Zambrano-CHC  132
Carpenter-STL 132
Webb-ARI      131
Duke-PIT      122
Willis-FLA    122
Smoltz-ATL    122
Arroyo-CIN    121
Peavy-SDP     120
Martinez-NYM  115