Wind Shares

Monday, February 19, 2007

Mojo projected leaderboards -- 2007

Here are the projected 2007 leaders in various stats using park-adjusted Marcel ("Mojo") projections. Playing time calculations are based on a weighted, age-adjusted three-year average, which is why guys like Ryan Howard don't show up on most of the lists. The exception is for players like Robinson Cano who didn't debut in the majors until 2005 or 2006; in these cases, the playing time calculations only use the past one or two seasons. Fair? Probably not.

To qualify for the rate stat leaderboards, hittes need to have at least 502 projected PAs and pitchers at least 162 projected IP. Hitters with fewer projected PAs can still show up in the top ten if they would still rank among the league's leaders after enough hitless PAs to get them to 502 were added to their total (full rules can be found here). Also, of course, changes in usage patterns (Joel Pineiro) and injuries (Pedro Martinez) have not been accounted for.

AMERICAN LEAGUE


Batting Average

Suzuki-SEA .325

Cano-NYY .319
Guerrero-LAA .317
Young-TEX .313
Jeter-NYY .313
Tejada-BAL .312
Guillen-DET .312
Mauer-MIN **.324
Polanco-DET .307
Crawford-TBD .303

On-base %

Hafner-CLE .406

Abreu-NYY .397
Drew-BOS .396
Ramirez-BOS .391
Giambi-NYY **.395
Mauer-MIN **.402
Rodriguez-NYY .386
Jeter-NYY .384
Ortiz-BOS .384
Guillen-DET .376

Slugging %

Hafner-CLE .594

Ortiz-BOS .593
Ramirez-BOS .580
Guerrero-LAA .550
Teixeira-TEX .534
Rodriguez-NYY .532
Dye-CHW .531
Konerko-CHW .526
Morneau-MIN .509
Glaus-TOR .509

OPS

Hafner-CLE 1.000

Ortiz-BOS .977
Ramirez-BOS .971
Guerrero-LAA .926
Rodriguez-NYY .918
Teixeira-TEX .901
Drew-BOS .901
Konerko-CHW .890
Dye-CHW .877
Giambi-NYY **.893

At Bats

Suzuki-SEA 690

Young-TEX 689
Tejada-BAL 659
Jeter-NYY 646
Crawford-TBD 645
Blalock-TEX 632
Teixeira-NYY 628
Figgins-LAA 623
Beltre-SEA 618
Damon-NYY 613

Plate Appearances

Suzuki-SEA 739

Young-TEX 736
Jeter-NYY 720
Teixeira-TEX 711
Tejada-BAL 707
Abreu-NYY 695
Blalock-TEX 691
Rodriguez-NYY 687
Ortiz-BOS 685
Figgins-LAA 684

Hits

Suzuki-SEA 224

Young-TEX 216
Tejada-BAL 206
Jeter-NYY 202
Crawford-TBD 195
Guerrero-LAA 186
Damon-NYY 180
Teixeira-TEX 178
Figgins-LAA 177
Mora-BAL 174

Total Bases

Ortiz-BOS 349

Teixeira-TEX 335
Tejada-BAL 332
Young-TEX 325
Guerrero-LAA 322
Rodriguez-NYY 317
Crawford-TBD 304
Konerko-CHW 303
Ramirez-BOS 302
Beltre-SEA 298
Jeter-NYY 298
Wells-TOR 298

Doubles

Overbay-TOR 45

Roberts-BAL 43
Lowell-BOS 42
Tejada-BAL 41
Young-TEX 41
Teixeira-TEX 40
Abreu-NYY 39
Cano-NYY 39
Cabrera-LAA 38
Hafner-CLE 38
Ortiz-BOS 38

Triples

Crawford-TBD 17

Figgins-LAA 12
Sizemore-CLE 9
Suzuki-SEA 9
Lofton-TEX 8
Rios-TOR 7
Castillo-MIN 6
DeJesus-KCR 6
Guillen-DET 6
Inge-DET 6
Teahen-KCR 6
Young-TEX 6

Home Runs

Ortiz-BOS 47

Ramirez-BOS 39
Konerko-CHW 38
Rodriguez-NYY 38
Teixeira-TEX 38
Hafner-CLE 34
Dye-CHW 33
Guerrero-LAA 33
Glaus-TOR 33
Beltre-SEA 29
Sexson-SEA 29

Bases on Balls

Abreu-NYY 110

Ortiz-BOS 93
Giambi-NYY 85
Rodriguez-NYY 82
Ramirez-BOS 79
Hafner-CLE 78
Drew-BOS 77
Thome-CHW 77
Teixeira-TEX 75
Chavez-OAK 74

Singles

Suzuki-SEA 182

Young-TEX 150
Jeter-NYY 146
Kendall-OAK 140
Castilo-MIN 136
Crawford-TBD 136
Tejada-BAL 136
Figgins-LAA 134
Damon-NYY 122
Mora-BAL 122

Adjusted OPS+

Hafner-CLE 161

Ortiz-BOS 149
Ramirez-BOS 148
Guerrero-LAA 142
Rodriguez-NYY 140
Drew-BOS 132
Teixeira-TEX 129
Konerko-CHW 127
Sizemore-CLE 127
Guillen-DET 126

Runs Created

Ortiz-BOS 134

Teixeira-TEX 123
Rodriguez-NYY 122
Guerrero-LAA 121
Tejada-BAL 119
Ramirez-BOS 118
Hafner-CLE 116
Young-TEX 116
Jeter-NYY 114
Konerko-CHW 110

Extra-Base Hits

Ortiz-BOS 87

Teixeira-TEX 80
Hafner-CLE 73
Ramirez-BOS 72
Guerrero-LAA 70
Tejada-BAL 70
Sizemore-CLE 67
Wells-TOR 67
Young-TEX 66
Beltre-SEA 65
Overbay-TOR 65

Times on Base

Jeter-NYY 277

Abreu-NYY 276
Suzuki-SEA 273
Rodriguez-NYY 265
Ortiz-BOS 263
Young-TEX 263
Teixeira-TEX 261
Tejada-BAL 254
Damon-NYY 241
Guerrero-LAA 241

At Bats per Home Run

Ortiz-BOS 12.5

Ramirez-BOS 13.3
Hafner-CLE 14.1
Giambi-NYY **14.1
Glaus-TOR 14.4
Thome-CHW **14.2
Konerko-CHW 15.1
Rodriguez-NYY 15.7
Sexson-SEA 15.7
Dye-CHW 16.2

Outs

Young-TEX 473

Suzuki-SEA 466
Blalock-TEX 463
Tejada-BAL 453
Teixeira-TEX 450
Crawford-TBD 449
Figgins-LAA 446
Beltre-SEA 445
Jeter-NYY 444
Wells-TOR 435

ERA

Santana-MIN 3.02

Halladay-TOR 3.32
Pettitte-NYY 3.60
Sabathia-CLE 3.72
Lackey-LAA 3.82
Wang-NYY 3.87
Buehrle-CHW 4.04
Rogers-DET 4.05
Bedard-BAL 4.05
Haren-OAK 4.09

Innings

Santana-MIN 233.3

Buehrle-CHW 223.0
Garland-CHW 216.7
Lackey-LAA 211.7
Westbrook-CLE 211.3
Bonderman-DET 205.3
Vazquez-CHW 205.0
Robertson-DET 202.0
Lee-CLE 197.7
Weaver-SEA 196.0

Earned Runs Allow.

Vazquez-CHW 108

Pineiro-BOS 105
Weaver-SEA 105
Garland-CHW 102
Buehrle-CHW 100
Ortiz-MIN 99
Bonderman-DET 98
Westbrook-CLE 98
Robertson-DET 96
Lee-CLE 95

Adjusted ERA+

Santana-MIN 149

Halladay-TOR 138
Pettitte-NYY 123
Sabathia-CLE 118
Lackey-LAA 114
Wang-NYY 114
Buehrle-CHW 114
Bedard-BAL 110
Haren-OAK 110
Rogers-DET 110


NATIONAL LEAGUE


Batting Average

Cabrera-FLA .322

Pujols-STL .321
Holliday-COL .308
Helton-COL .307
Wright-NYM .304
Loretta-HOU .303
Atkins-COL **.309
Lo Duca-NYM .300
Pierre-LAD .299
Berkman-HOU .298

On-base %

Helton-COL .416

Pujols-STL .414
Berkman-HOU .410
Johnson-WSN .403
Cabrera-FLA .398
Giles-SDP .384
Bay-PIT .383
Dunn-CIN .376
Burrell-PHI .374
Wright-NYM .374

Slugging %

Pujols-STL .625

Berkman-HOU .555
Ramirez-CHC .553
Cabrera-FLA .550
Delgado-NYM .538
Bay-PIT .534
Holliday-COL .531
Lee-CHC **.551
Jones-ATL .526
Soriano-CHC .523

OPS

Pujols-STL 1.039

Berkman-HOU .965
Cabrera-FLA .948
Helton-COL .925
Bay-PIT .917
Ramirez-CHC .903
Delgado-NYM .903
Dunn-CIN .897
Holliday-COL .897
Wright-NYM .897

At Bats

Pierre-LAD 689

Rollins-PHI 685
Soriano-CHC 639
Uggla-FLA 638
Furcal-LAD 629
Lee-HOU 625
Cabrera-FLA 623
Renteria-ATL 611
Winn-SFG 605
Wilson-PIT 598

Plate Apperances

Rollins-PHI 741

Pierre-LAD 737
Cabrera-FLA 702
Furcal-ATL 692
Soriano-CHC 691
Uggla-FLA 691
Giles-SDP 686
Dunn-CIN 683
Lee-HOU 679
Pujols-STL 679

Hits

Pierre-LAD 206

Cabrera-FLA 201
Rollins-PHI 193
Pujols-STL 188
Furcal-LAD 181
Lee-HOU 177
Renteria-ATL 177
Uggla-FLA 177
Soriano-CHC 175
Winn-SFG 174

Total Bases

Pujols-STL 366

Cabrera-FLA 343
Soriano-CHC 334
Lee-HOU 317
Rollins-PHI 310
Jones-ATL 306
Ramirez-CHC 303
Uggla-FLA 301
Bay-PIT 296
Dunn-CIN 294

Doubles

Cabrera-FLA 43
Rollins-PHI 43

Helton-COL 41
Pujols-STL 40
Soriano-CHC 40
Lee-HOU 39
Renteria-ATL 39
Belliard-WSN 38
Biggio-HOU 38
Winn-SFG 38

Triples

Reyes-NYM 14

Pierre-LAD 13
Roberts-SFG 11
Rollins-PHI 11
Furcal-LAD 9
Sullivan-COL 8
Hudson-ARI 7
Uggla-FLA 7
Ramirez-FLA 6
Vizquel-SFG 6
Wilson-PIT 6
Winn-SFG 6

Home Runs

Pujols-STL 45

Dunn-CIN 41
Jones-ATL 41
Soriano-CHC 38
Ramirez-CHC 35
Delgado-NYM 34
Lee-HOU 34
Berkman-HOU 33
Bay-PIT 32
Cabrera-FLA 32

Bases on Balls

Dunn-CIN 111

Giles-SDP 98
Berkman-HOU 95
Helton-COL 95
Bonds-SFG 89
Burrell-PHI 88
Pujols-STL 87
Johnson-WSN 80
Bay-PIT 77
Beltran-NYM 77

Singles

Pierre-LAD 164

Eckstein-STL 136
Loretta-HOU 131
Furcal-LAD 128
Vizquel-SFG 127
Renteria-ATL 125
Cabrera-FLA 124
Wilson-PIT 124
Rollins-PHI 122
Reyes-NYM 118

Adjusted OPS+

Pujols-STL 166

Berkman-HOU 148
Cabrera-FLA 147
Bay-PIT 135
Delgado-NYM 133
Wright-NYM 132
Johnson-WSN 131
Helton-COL 130
Ramirez-CHC 127
Dunn-CIN 126

Runs Created

Pujols-STL 152

Cabrera-FLA 136
Berkman-HOU 120
Helton-COL 114
Bay-PIT 113
Dunn-CIN 110
Soriano-CHC 110
Lee-HOU 108
Jones-ATL 107
Ramirez-CHC 106

Extra-Base Hits

Pujols-STL 87

Soriano-CHC 81
Cabrera-FLA 77
Dunn-CIN 73
Lee-HOU 73
Jones-ATL 72
Rollins-PHI 71
Beltran-NYM 70
Ramirez-CHC 70
Bay-PIT 69

Times on Base

Pujols-STL 281

Cabrera-FLA 279
Helton-COL 266
Giles-SDP 264
Dunn-CIN 257
Berkman-HOU 256
Pierre-LAD 253
Rollins-PHI 249
Bay-PIT 245
Furcal-LAD 244

At Bats per Home Run

Pujols-STL 13.0

Dunn-CIN 13.7
Jones-ATL 14.2
Howard-PHI **11.9
Delgado-NYM 15.1
Ramirez-CHC 15.6
Edmonds-STL **15.8
Berkman-HOU 15.9
Soriano-CHC 16.8
Burrell-PHI 17.2

Outs

Rollins-PHI 492

Pierre-LAD 483
Soriano-CHC 464
Uggla-FLA 460
Furcal-LAD 449
Lee-HOU 448
Renteria-ATL 434
Jones-ATL 432
Winn-SFG 432
Wilson-PIT 429

ERA

Oswalt-HOU 3.28

Carpenter-STL 3.29
Zambrano-CHC 3.38
Peavy-SDP 3.42
Willis-FLA 3.44
Webb-ARI 3.46
Duke-PIT 3.57
Smoltz-ATL 3.58
Arroyo-CIN 3.73
Martinez-NYM 3.74

Innings

Hernandez-ARI 230.7

Webb-ARI 230.0
Oswalt-HOU 229.7
Willis-FLA 228.7
Zito-SFG 222.0
Zambrano-CHC 220.3
Carpenter-STL 219.7
Arroyo-CIN 218.0
Garcia-PHI 217.3
Harang-CIN 214.7

Earned Runs Allow.

Hernandez-ARI 117

Lopez-COL 111
Marquis-CHC 107
Davis-ARI 104
Moyer-PHI 104
Garcia-PHI 102
Morris-SFG 102
Johnson-ARI 100
Fogg-COL 99
Milton-CIN 97
Zito-SFG 97

Adjusted ERA+

Oswalt-HOU 133

Zambrano-CHC 132
Carpenter-STL 132
Webb-ARI 131
Duke-PIT 122
Willis-FLA 122
Smoltz-ATL 122
Arroyo-CIN 121
Peavy-SDP 120
Martinez-NYM 115

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